US missile systems are likely to be unable to intercept Hwasong-15's new North Korean intercontinental ballistic missile. The missile is so large that it can carry many surprises. This is the opinion of the experts consulted by the American magazine The National Interest.
"This missile has enough launch weight to carry multiple nuclear warheads, fake targets and systems to overcome any known anti-missile defense system ... It can overcome, deceive and blind radars and sensors. Cirincione, president of the anti-nuclear Plowshares Fund.
The director for disarmament and threat reduction policy of the US Arms Control Association, Kingston Reif, has evaluated the videos and photos of the Hwasong-15 release issued by the North Korean government that the missile is capable of deceiving the United States Medium-Sized Earth Defense (GMD).
"According to the Department of Defense's independent test office, the GMD 'proved to be able to defend the continental United States against a number of threats from intercontinental ballistic missiles that have' basic defensive tactics, '" Reif said. article.
For the expert, at this point it is not clear what the US Department of Defense regards as "basic defensive tactics." He recalled that on May 30, 2017, the GMD test was conducted, which overthrew an intercontinental ballistic missile armed in principle with basic defensive tactics, but after analyzing the test results, it was concluded that these were not decisive....
Raif recalled that "the North Koreans are not stupid" and that Pyongyang knows perfectly how to take advantage of the weaknesses of the US ground-based missile defense system. Proof of this is, for the expert, the fact that North Korea's latest launch was made overnight and unannounced. "Launching a missile without warning puts our ability to locate and establish its trajectory difficult, and the GMD was never able to intercept missiles at night," Reif said.
The magazine warned that the Pentagon would always test the GMD on sunny days. The 10 times the defense system was tested, all successful, took place when the sun directly lit the target to shoot down, Reif warned.
"There is a reason for this. The sun's rays help illuminate the vehicles of independent multiple re-entry [of the missile] and the possible false targets [that it may have inside]," Reif explained.
An independently directed multiple reentry missile (MIRV) is a collection of nuclear weapons introduced into a single intercontinental ballistic missile. Hwasong-15 has every chance of being one of these missiles. Therefore, the darkness of the night could endanger the GDM. "GDM could get confused if it tries to intercept a missile at night," Reif warned.
It should be added that in order to truly test the ability of the GMD to intercept a missile such as Hwasong-15, the test must be "realistic", ie the GMD must be subjected to real pressure and conditions. Jeffrey Lewis, director of the Middlebury Institute's nonproliferation program, agrees with Reif: GDM is unlikely to be particularly effective against such North Korean missiles.
"The system is rubbish ... It's supposed to have been bred to deal with a threat like that, but rehearsal history sucks," he acknowledged openly.
On 28 November Pyongyang said it had tested a new type of intercontinental ballistic missile, Hwasong-15, which could hit targets across the United States.
Still according to the North Koreans, the projectile reached an altitude of 4,475 kilometers and covered a distance of 950 kilometers. It was the first launch of a North Korean ballistic missile since last September 15, when Pyongyang fired a projectile identified by the Pentagon as a medium-range ballistic missile.
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