Crisis ku Brazil ndi kutsogolera mayiko chiopsezo mu 2016

Crisis ku Brazil ndi kutsogolera mayiko chiopsezo mu 2016
JAMIL Chad - KU Geneva - S. PAULO Boma
January 4, 2016 | 10h 15
Pakuti American kuthandizira panzeru, zinthu m'dzikoli ndi pakati khumi zochitika kupereka mwapamwamba chiopsezo ku dziko
Kusinthidwa pa 15h34
Zokhudzana
Mauthenga kulimbitsa kugwirizana Lula ndi Odebrecht
141 zaka ufulu wa kulankhula
Mphotho tidzipereke labwino
Geneva - The zandale ndi mavuto azachuma ku Brazil ali pakati pamwamba khumi kuopsa kwa mayiko zochitika 2016. The tcheru ndi Europe ndi ku Asia Gulu lolangiza kuti lofalitsidwa ake kusanja mfundo ndi chiopsezo zinthu kwa dziko m'chaka. Brazil limapezeka chitatu udindo, ndi achilendo akatswiri amanena kuti ngakhale mutsogoleli wadziko Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) "angathe kuchita pang'ono ngati (Hugo) Chavez ndi kufunsa antchito kuthandizapo." Koma iwo adzalamulira zingatheke kuti zisinthe ali danga kulankhula.
Crisis mu boma la Brazil a wotchuka padziko lonse
Crisis mu boma la Brazil a wotchuka padziko lonse
"The kugwa mu Brazil chuma adzakhala wamkulu," anati Ian Bremmer, pulezidenti wa kufunsira atafunsidwa ndi boma. Wotchedwa "Guru pa kuwuka" ndi The Economist, Bremmer ndi pulofesa New York University ndipo analenga woyamba ndale chiopsezo cholozera ntchito Wall Street.
"Monga mmene wogulitsa malonda kwambiri ku Brazil ndi ndalama avutika mu 2015, zandale ndi mavuto azachuma adzakhala kuvutika pa 2016," anachenjeza Europe ndi ku Asia.
Malinga ndi kuthandizira panzeru, "Brazil ali pakati pa 'kwambiri kuvuta kwachuma' 'ndipo ukhoza" angapo zaka ". "Pulezidenti Dilma Rousseff (PT) akumenyana chifukwa cha ndale kupulumuka, ndiponso zandale ndi mavuto azachuma chikuyembekezeka kuvutika mu 2016," iye ananena.
Pakuti kufunsira, kubetcherana kuti pali ndale njira sikuyenera kuwonedwa ndi chidaliro. "Nkhondo pa Rousseff a iyenera kukonzedwa sayenera kuthetsa panopa ndale deadlock", anati gulu, mmodzi wa padziko lonse lapansi mwa mawu a ndale chiopsezo kusanthula.
"Ngati iye adzapulumuka, amene zikuoneka kuti choncho, boma lake sadzapeza phindu andale mphamvu zofunika kuti apitirize chuma kusintha kuti dziko ayenera kuthetsa ake zachuma kuchepekedwa kuwonjezeka," iye anati. "Kuti thandizo muyenera kupewa iyenera kukonzedwa mu Congress, Rousseff adzakhala ndi kuphwanya lako lamanzere m'munsi. Izi mipata adzakhala kufooketsa awo zachuma uchimo ndi kufotokoza chisankho m'malo nduna Orthodox Finance Joaquim Levy kwa zochepa zovuta zachuma mawu, Nelson Barbosa, "iye anati.
Kusankha Michel Temer (PMDB) si kuvomereza. "Ngati Rousseff kugwa, boma kutsogoleredwa ndi wotsatila mutsogoleli Michel Temer sadzachita bwino ndi magawano pakati pa zipani tipirire akutali iyenera kukonzedwa."
Pakuti gulu, mavuto ndi Temer akanati kuchepetsa chakuti dziko Chisudzulo Chikuwononga ndale ndi boma latsopano. Mu aziona kufunsira, zofufuza mu PMDB kwambiri pa ntchito chiphalaphala ndege, "kusonyeza ziwalo za boma latsopano ndi kuchepetsa zolimbikitsa kwa PSDB amapitiriza iye kale tenuous thandizo."
Akatswiri amanenanso kuti, odzitamandira boma, Temer kukhala ndi PT wotsutsana, mu nkhani imene Dilma a chipani adzakhala okonzeka kuchita zimenezo "kulipira ndi kugwa" pulezidenti. The PT tidzafunika posonyeza kusagwirizana ndi "Ufumu Wachiwiri wa owolowa manja anawasankha."
"Ndi ulova mlingo kukwera oposa 10% m'kupita kwa chaka, mfundo danga la latsopano pulezidenti adzakhala kwambiri yochepa."
Kampani Ikufotokozanso kuti zotsatira za Opaleshoni chiphalaphala ndege. "Pulezidenti udzakhalabe pa chiopsezo ku nkhani ya chiphalaphala ndege chivundi," iye anati. "Izi zimasonyeza latsopano umboni wa monyanyira mwake chipani, ndi PT, amene amathanso kukhala latsopano ntchito yake iyenera kukonzedwa."
Lula. Pakuti Europe ndi ku Asia, chanu akhoza anapereka ngakhale mofulumira ngati "wakeyo ndi mutsogoleli wadziko Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva akukakamizidwa wa kufufuza ndi kupandukira Rousseff cha kusintha anawasankha."
The pulezidenti wakale yekha angakhale ndi yofunika mu 2016, mu ziyenera a akatswiri.
"Lula sakuchedwa kulankhula za chiwembu ndipo ndi wokonzeka kuchita pang'ono ngati Chavez, kuti m'misewu ndipo muwafunse kanthu antchito. Koma sitikuchiona malo zisinthe kuzivomereza," anati Bremmer.
Pakuti iye, padzakhala njira mu Brazil anthu zimene limati "amphamvu mabungwe", ndi "okhwima pakati kalasi" ndi "mlingo wa maphunziro".
Komabe, pofuna kudziwa gulu, Dilma kupitiriza mphamvu, zidzakhala pulezidenti kwambiri ukapolo wa kwakukulu zinthu ake chipani "zosemphana ndi Congress ndi zimene zingachititse kuti ndi" ndale ziwalo ".
Impact. Pakuti Bremmer, chuma mmene chandale impasse adzakhala zofunika. "The msika adzalanga Brazil anapatsidwa satha kuti kusintha," iye anati. "Koma mwina vuto kuti Brazil ayenera" iye anati.
Mmene akulonjeza bwanji ngakhale Olympic Games, zikuchitika Rio de Janeiro mu August. "Zidzakhala zoipa chochitika. Kudzakhala chitsanzo, anthu ambiri kusakhutira ndi mkulu ndipo sadzakhala chete monga World Cup," iye anati.
Iye anati zimakupatsani mu 2016 Games ali kutali kwa mnzake ndipo motero kungakhale kovuta chifukwa zionetsero anatseka misewu yabwino Intaneti. "Idzakhala chaka kupita ku Brazil. Kudzakhala malo chipani," iye anati.
Chisankho. The Europe ndi ku Asia pafupifupi "kuposa njira yotulukira ndale" ali m'manja mwa Supreme Electoral Khoti, amene amayankha Mphekesera chinyengo mu 2014 Pulezidenti. "" Ngati Court kupeza oletsedwa ndalama maumboni msonkhano, iye akhoza akaitane chisankho mwa masiku 90. Ngakhale n'zokayikitsa, zimenezi chifukwa adzakhala athandize kuika latsopano pulezidenti osankhidwa ndi ndale latsopanoli zoti. "
"A boma latsopano angapindule koyamba funde la chidaliro mu siaboma. A pulezidenti watsopano akanati afunse mugwilizano wadziko, kuwerenga osachepera tacit mchirikizo wa PSDB ndipo akamufunsirire structural kukonzanso chuma." Koma langizo kubetcherana mu sewero ndi sakhulupirira kuti zimenezi zidzachitika.
"Pomaliza, Brazil adzakhala ndi chaka cha m'munsi chiopsezo ngati panali kusankha ndipo kuti dziko anamuchotsa Dilma," Bremmer anati. Mwake kuwunika, ndi "kuwala pamapeto a mumphangayo akhoza kubwera mapeto a 2016 kapena oyambirira 2017, pamene iwo amayamba kukhala bwino amene kupikisana mu 2018 chisankho" Anthu ambiri amafunabe kuti aganyali Brazil, "iye anati.
Kuwonjezera Brazil, mndandanda wa lalikulu kuopsa kwa 2016 ndi kutsogozedwa ndi fragility la mgwirizano pakati pa United States ndi European Union, amene akulonjeza kuti "padziko lonse yaikulu ndale chiopsezo."
Malinga Europe ndi ku Asia, lipotilo "Top Kuwopsa" kwa chaka kuyesera "kuzindikira kwambiri ndale ndi geopolitical zinthu ndi maganizo mfundo lonse ndalama ndi msika ophunzira mu 2016".
Chachiwiri mu kusanja ndi chiopsezo kuti Europe atseka ake malire pamaso pa kuchuluka kwa othawa kwawo ndi zigawenga kuopseza. Mphamvu ya slowdown ku China amabwera ku lachitatu udindo, kenako zigawenga kuopseza a Chisilamu State.
Wachisanu udindo mu masanjidwe ndi Saudi Arabia, pamaso mkati destabilization chizindikiro. Mu wachisanu ndi chimodzi, kufunsira mfundo zikamera wa magnates wa sayansi gawo monga ndale zisudzo, akhoza kusokoneza mayiko zochita.
Wachisanu ndi chiwiri apamwamba mwa akuluakulu pachiswe mu 2016 ndi kulimbitsa "sizimadziwika atsogoleri," monga Vladimir Putin ndi Recep Tayyip Erdogan.
Ngati Brazil ali ndi chitatu, lachisanu ndi chinayi ndi anafotokozanso kuti kuyambika mayiko "kupanda ufulu chisankho" ambiri a iwo. The kusanja udzatha ndi nkhani zandale ku Turkey ndi chandamale Erdogan.