Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are current leaders in the race to the White House
If the initial primaries were input, Super Tuesday is the main course. With the participation of 12 states and one territory (American Samoa), Tuesday (01/03) will be the biggest day of voting in the race for the nomination.
In the first four primaries and caucuses of the Democrats had 186 delegates at stake, a modest number close to 880 delegates available on Super Tuesday - that's more than a third of the Democratic delegates needed to achieve the nomination.
On the Republican side, the number in dispute is even greater. In the primaries and caucuses earlier it was possible to ensure 133 delegates, far less than the 595 this Tuesday, or nearly half of the votes needed to win the nomination.
This scenario means that if the current leaders of the dispute,
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, have obtained great victories or even win entire states, as most research provides the dispute over the display can be closed on Wednesday, both the Democrats and for the Republicans.
To be exact, in the case of Trump, the proportional division of delegates between Republican base comparatively wide prevents completely seal his statement and leaves open a small possibility that competitors, Senators Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz, may still reverse the situation.
"But it will be extremely difficult if we consider the results he has accumulated and the situation that would be generated," said Julian Zelizer analyst at Princeton University. "The supporters of the two would be demoralized."
Sanders pressure
Since the race between Clinton and Bernie Sanders may be closed after Super Tuesday. "There must be a really drastic change to Sanders make real progress," says the expert Stella Rouse, director of the Center for Politics and American Citizenship at the University of Maryland.
The expert Matthew Wilson of Southern Methodist University in Dallas, bet on Clinton's victory. "My prognosis is that she has sewed things the Democratic side, skilfully winning all the southern states with the power of African-American support," he says.
Wilson adds that Sanders could not show that she can garner significant support among black voters. "The Democratic Party today, you can not win without the african-Americans on their side."
So the Super Tuesday may be the last chance to stop Sanders Clinton in their march to victory within the party. "If Bernie can not get a solid number of wins to raise its number of delegates, I think this campaign will be in the final stretch," Zelizer said.
national appeal
convincing victories Trump and Clinton not only would increase the perception that his statements are inevitable but also would give them the right to claim victory at the national level.
As the composition of the 13 states voting on this Super Tuesday is quite varied - different regions of the country, with racial, religious and well various economic compositions - "that would allow a winner by a wide margin to claim a broad national mandate within his party," he says Wilson.
But even if Clinton Trump and conquer convincing wins, it does not mean that the presidential race runs the risk of being boring.
This is because even if Clinton wins the internal dispute, that does not mean she will repeat that victory in the presidential election. To determine the viability of her candidacy - not against a self-declared socialist, but in a general election - is necessary to pay attention to how it comes out with white voters. "If she loses
permanently white voters to Sanders, as in all states so far, it may indicate problems on the way to the general election, "said Wilson.
On the Republican side, both Cruz and Rubio must convince supporters that they still have a chance to stop Trump. "This means that Cross must win in Texas and do well in other states," says Rouse. "The Rubio path is far less clear. It is not the favorite in any state Super Tuesday and is not favored even in your state, Florida, on 15 March."
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