sábado, 30 de julho de 2016
Three reasons that can make Hillary Clinton losing the US election
First woman to compete in the White House for one of the two major parties of the country have against him, among other things, the fact that the electorate rarely gives three consecutive terms in the same party.
Hillary Clinton has already made history as the first woman to run for president of the United States by one of the two major parties of the country. On the other hand, it has at least three major obstacles to overcome for consecrating winning the US elections.
1 - THE OPPONENT DONALD TRUMP, ARRIVING PACKED
When the businessman Donald Trump candidate launched it last year, it was seen as a big joke. But Trump's campaign gained momentum, beat out all opponents in the Republican Party and especially attracted many fans who believe the main promise of the entrepreneur: "Make America great again."
Trump arrives packed to compete with Hillary that analysts do not have a message as clear and direct as the opponent. "Stronger together" motto of the Democratic campaign, has not stuck.
"People want to know what are the ideas of the candidates to move the country forward, but do not want to get lost in detail," says Doug Hattawat, senior adviser to the Clinton campaign in 2008 when she played the previous with Barack Obama.
2 - OWN HILLARY CLINTON, collecting antipathy TO BETWEEN DEMOCRATS
The experience as a former senator and former US Secretary of State has strengths, but also attracts rejection. Hillary faces resistance from many people and is not unanimity, even among Democrats.
One of the most controversial points of Hillary's biography was his use of a private server to exchange e-mails with confidential assistants when he was head of government diplomacy Barack Obama, between 2009 and 2013.
Critics say her attitude put at risk the security of the country, since the private server was more vulnerable to hacker attacks. After examining the case, the FBI (the US federal police) said Clinton was "extremely unwise" but the agency did not suggest it was denounced in court. The candidate acknowledged the error and apologized.
Hillary is also criticized for his performance against the attack that killed four Americans - including Ambassador Chris Stevens - at the US consulate in Benghazi (Libya) in 2012. Opponents claim that it ignored warnings about the risk of attacks on the building.
The response from the State Department for the attack was criticized initially, the agency reported that the incident was partly motivated by the launch of an anti-Islam film, although the government itself had information that it was a "terrorist attack."
Hillary took responsibility for the incident, but said he never received any request to increase the safety of the unit in Benghazi.
For Antonio Villaraigosa, also a member of the Clinton campaign in 2008, the Democrats need an "extra dose of authenticity." "There is great dissatisfaction of the people with politicians in general and with the institutions. Therefore, it will be challenged to show that it is not a politician like any other.
"If you look at the research, she had high popularity when he was not running, but the numbers fell when he began to struggle," says Marjorie Margolies Hillary's daughter in law, which is close to the candidate and believes he has an explanation for this phenomenon: " she gives the impression of always being on the inside of the subject matter, and this causes discomfort in many people, especially among those who do not like women smartass. "
3 - HISTORY OF ELECTIONS WHICH RARELY MAKES THREE CONSECUTIVE VICTORIES FOR PARTY EVEN
The alternation of power is one of the main features of the US political system. The same party can hardly win three consecutive elections. The last time it happened was in 1988 with the victory of the republished George Bush (1989-1993), replacing Ronald Regan (1981-1989).
Bush, however, was not re-elected. Who won the election in 1992 was Hillary's husband, Bill Clinton.
Mark Penn, one of Clinton's strategists in 2008, says that the outcome of US elections is set for about 20% of the electorate who remain without a favorite name to preside over the country.
The US future to Penn, but is the hands of those undecided. "Many people do not like any of the candidates, they will decide the elections."
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