segunda-feira, 20 de junho de 2016

Hillary appears with 7 points ahead of Trump

                    Pré-candidata democrata Hillary Clinton no Kentucky, dia 10/05/2016

Washington - Democrat Hillary Clinton has seven point lead over Republican Donald Trump in the race for president of the United States less than five months before the elections, according to new research published on Monday.

In the survey, prepared by the University of Monmouth (New Jersey) between 15 and 19 June, Clinton has the support of 47% of the 803 registered voters surveyed.

In turn, Trump gets a support of 40%, according to the survey, conducted days after the massacre in a gay nightclub in Orlando (Florida) in the last 12 days by an American of Afghan origin and sympathizers of the Islamic State (EI) which left 49 dead.

The tycoon has responded to the attack by insisting on his plan to veto the entry of Muslims in the US to combat jihadist terrorism, and has labeled "fragile" the answer to this threat by US President Barack Obama, and own Hillary, who asked so as not to "demonize" people who profess the Islamic religion.

Former Secretary of State still managed a lead of eight points (47% to 39%) on the New York billionaire in ten key states in the 2012 elections, in which Obama beat Republican Mitt Romney and won his second term.

These states are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin, where Obama defeated Romney (with the exception of North Carolina) by less than seven points.

If taken into account Party candidates Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party, Jill Stein, Clinton's lead over Trump is reduced to six points (42% to 36%).

In this scenario, Johnson gets 9% of the vote, while Stein appears with 4%.

"Hillary has the advantage at the start of the general election campaign, particularly in swing states," said the researcher from Monmouth, Patrick Murray.

"However, all the signs indicate that 2016 is producing one of the most polarized electorates to remember," said Murray.

As have shown the researches in recent weeks, Clinton and Trump have high levels of unpopularity, with 52% for the former first lady and 57% in the tycoon.

The research also proves the good tuning of the virtual Democratic candidate minorities as Latinos, blacks and Asians, giving it a support of 72%, against 17% of likely Republican candidate.

Clinton also appears best positioned among women (57% -30%), while Trump gains among men (50% to 37%) and white voters (49% to 38%).

The disclosure of the survey, which has a margin of error of 3.5%, coincided with the announcement of the departure of the head of Trump campaign, Corey Lewandowski, with less than five months to the presidential election on November 8.

Lewandowski's departure highlights the crisis of the campaign of the New York businessman who does not advance in the polls since early June.

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