A UK out of the European Union or Brexit, after the referendum of June 23 would represent an earthquake to the country and the EU. Here are some shockwaves possible:
1- Conservative Prime Minister David Cameron resigns. He put his credibility on the front line with the launch of the referendum and then campaigning to stay in the EU.
He is replaced by his rival and leader of the pro-Brexit group, Boris Johnson, who takes the reins.
2- The Scottish Prime Minister, Nicola Sturgeon, partisan convinced of the permanence in the European Union decides to organize a referendum on independence.
Scotland decides this time to secede, dissociating of a kingdom that chose the Brexit.
3 In Ireland, a new frontier is reset by isolating Northern Ireland from its neighbor the EU and reducing cross-border trade.
4- The country gets complicated negotiations with the European Union, for a maximum of two years, which will decide on the conditions of access to the single market.
The President of the European Commission, Jean-Claude Juncker, has warned that "the UK will be a third state that will have no advantage over the others."
5- The shock on the markets, uncertainty and confusion in the City lead to the pound fall 15 to 20%, inflation at 5%, an increase in labor costs, growth lost 1 to 1.5% (source: HSBC).
Thousands of jobs in the City are transferred to the financial centers of Frankfurt or Paris.
6- The arrival of migrants from the European Union drastically reduced, resulting in a lack of manpower in the sectors of construction and services.
7- The other EU countries are to Brussels to negotiate commitments, threatening otherwise to leave the club of the 27 other EU countries.
8- Finally, once past the transition phase, however painful it may be, the UK continues to be a flexible and dynamic economy, helped by new economic partners and a selective migration
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